{"id":3001,"date":"2023-05-22T14:48:37","date_gmt":"2023-05-22T14:48:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/?p=3001"},"modified":"2023-05-23T06:08:12","modified_gmt":"2023-05-23T06:08:12","slug":"proshares-ultra-oil-gas-etf-plummets-20-year-to-date-on-weaker-energy-prices","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/es\/inversion\/el-etf-proshares-ultra-oil-gas-se-desploma-un-20-en-lo-que-va-de-ano-por-la-caida-de-los-precios-de-la-energia\/","title":{"rendered":"El ETF ProShares Ultra Oil &amp; Gas se desploma un 20% en lo que va de a\u00f1o por la ca\u00edda de los precios de la energ\u00eda"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>El ProShares Ultra Oil &amp; Gas ETF - DIG (ISIN: US74347G7051) sigue la evoluci\u00f3n del \u00edndice Dow Jones U.S. Oil and Gas. El \u00edndice incluye empresas que operan principalmente en el sector del petr\u00f3leo y el gas, cuyas principales actividades son la exploraci\u00f3n y producci\u00f3n, los equipos petrol\u00edferos y los servicios, entre otros. El ETF incluye principalmente valores de gran capitalizaci\u00f3n, con un estilo de inversi\u00f3n centrado en la inversi\u00f3n en valor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tras dispararse un asombroso 121,96% en 2022 debido a la subida de los precios de la energ\u00eda (inducida por las limitaciones de la oferta provocadas por el conflicto entre Rusia y Ucrania), el ETF DIG ha bajado un 20% en lo que va de a\u00f1o, ya que los precios de la energ\u00eda han vuelto a la normalidad. Los futuros del petr\u00f3leo crudo han bajado un 10,40% en lo que va de a\u00f1o, mientras que el gas natural se ha desplomado un 44,14% en el mismo periodo. La debilidad de los precios de la energ\u00eda ha hecho tambalearse a los valores del sector energ\u00e9tico tras un fruct\u00edfero 2022, en el que algunas de las grandes empresas energ\u00e9ticas registraron beneficios anuales r\u00e9cord. \u00bfEst\u00e1 la tendencia alcista en las \u00faltimas?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>T\u00e9cnicos<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>El ETF DIG ha disfrutado de un impulso alcista ya que los precios m\u00e1ximos de la energ\u00eda llevaron al ETF a una tendencia alcista, con el precio despegando de su media m\u00f3vil de 100 d\u00edas en 2022. Sin embargo, la tendencia alcista se ha estancado ya que el precio se ha movido a la baja, acerc\u00e1ndose a su media m\u00f3vil de 100 d\u00edas. En combinaci\u00f3n con el debilitamiento de los vol\u00famenes, el rango entre los m\u00e1ximos y m\u00ednimos de la acci\u00f3n del precio se ha estrechado y ha formado un tri\u00e1ngulo sim\u00e9trico. El soporte y la resistencia se establecieron en los niveles de $30.72 y $46.17, respectivamente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dado que el ETF se est\u00e1 consolidando, los alcistas y los bajistas est\u00e1n en disputa para llevar al ETF en una direcci\u00f3n, con un lado potencialmente perdiendo a la conclusi\u00f3n de la consolidaci\u00f3n. Una reversi\u00f3n es probable, con el \u00cdndice de Fuerza Relativa apuntando a niveles de sobreventa y el precio operando en el soporte del tri\u00e1ngulo sim\u00e9trico. Los traders alcistas probablemente apunten a la resistencia en el nivel de $46.17 si se comprometen al alza en n\u00famero superior a los bajistas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Alternativamente, una ruptura de alto volumen por debajo del tri\u00e1ngulo sim\u00e9trico y el nivel de apoyo podr\u00eda indicar que los traders bajistas tienen la sart\u00e9n por el mango. Si el ETF DIG baja, los alcistas podr\u00edan buscar oportunidades de compra en el nivel de $25.02, que constituye el siguiente nivel de soporte inmediato. Las oportunidades de compra podr\u00edan ser validadas por vol\u00famenes decrecientes a la baja a medida que el precio se acerca al nivel de $25.02.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"955\" height=\"478\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/2205DIG1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3002\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/2205DIG1.png 955w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/2205DIG1-300x150.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/2205DIG1-768x384.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/2205DIG1-18x9.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 955px) 100vw, 955px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2>Fundamentales<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Con el descenso de los precios de la energ\u00eda, es probable que los resultados de las empresas energ\u00e9ticas se vean lastrados, lo que podr\u00eda mantener al ETF DIG bajo presi\u00f3n. La econom\u00eda de EE.UU. ha mostrado signos de moderaci\u00f3n, con la industria manufacturera (un consumidor cr\u00edtico de petr\u00f3leo y gas) contray\u00e9ndose. Desde mayo de 2023, la actividad manufacturera y de transporte de mercanc\u00edas en EE.UU. lleva seis meses consecutivos a la baja, y el consumo de gas\u00f3leo y otros combustibles sigue el mismo camino descendente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El ETF DIG se concentra principalmente en el sector de Petr\u00f3leo, Gas y Combustibles Consumibles, que comprende el 91,35% de todo el ETF. En comparaci\u00f3n, los equipos y servicios energ\u00e9ticos s\u00f3lo representan el 8,65% de las participaciones totales. El ETF est\u00e1 totalmente expuesto a los valores energ\u00e9ticos estadounidenses, por lo que su rentabilidad depende en gran medida de las condiciones fundamentales de la econom\u00eda y el mercado burs\u00e1til de Estados Unidos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"937\" height=\"516\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/2205DIG3.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3004\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/2205DIG3.png 937w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/2205DIG3-300x165.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/2205DIG3-768x423.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/2205DIG3-18x10.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 937px) 100vw, 937px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>De todo el \u00edndice, el ETF est\u00e1 fuertemente expuesto a dos gigantes petroleros estadounidenses, que comprenden el 42% de toda la participaci\u00f3n, Exxon Mobil Corp (ISIN: US30231G1022) y Chevron Corporation (ISIN: US1667641005). El resto de las participaciones del ETF representan menos del 5% cada una, mientras que las diez primeras representan algo m\u00e1s del 75% de toda la participaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"651\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/DIG-2023-05-23-080450-1-1024x651.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3009\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/DIG-2023-05-23-080450-1-1024x651.png 1024w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/DIG-2023-05-23-080450-1-300x191.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/DIG-2023-05-23-080450-1-768x488.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/DIG-2023-05-23-080450-1-18x12.png 18w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/DIG-2023-05-23-080450-1.png 1044w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>La siguiente ilustraci\u00f3n compara la rentabilidad del ETF DIG con la de Exxon Mobil, Chevron y los tipos de inter\u00e9s estadounidenses. Existe una fuerte correlaci\u00f3n positiva entre el ETF y sus participaciones m\u00e1s importantes, ya que tienden a moverse simult\u00e1neamente en direcciones similares.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El ETF DIG tambi\u00e9n es sensible a las variaciones de los tipos de inter\u00e9s a lo largo de los ciclos econ\u00f3micos. Durante el periodo de 2016 a 2018, los tipos de inter\u00e9s estadounidenses se dispararon a medida que la Reserva Federal endurec\u00eda su pol\u00edtica. El ETF DIG y sus dos principales participaciones disminuyeron significativamente en valor como resultado. El ETF DIG perdi\u00f3 un 46,81% durante el per\u00edodo, mientras que Exxon Mobil y Chevron Corp perdieron un 24,12% y un 7,96%, respectivamente. El aumento de los tipos de inter\u00e9s tiende a frenar el crecimiento y el desarrollo econ\u00f3micos, lo que mantiene la demanda de energ\u00eda a raya.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Por el contrario, en la Era de la Pandemia Covid-19, los tipos de inter\u00e9s disminuyeron significativamente desde su m\u00e1ximo de 2018, lo que llev\u00f3 a un salto del 103,21%, 48,34% y 40,89% en el precio de DIG, Exxon Mobil y Chevron Corp, respectivamente, despu\u00e9s de que se formaran los m\u00ednimos inducidos por el exceso de oferta en 2020.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"923\" height=\"525\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/2205DIG4.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3005\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/2205DIG4.png 923w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/2205DIG4-300x171.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/2205DIG4-768x437.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/2205DIG4-18x10.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 923px) 100vw, 923px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2>Resumen<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Si la econom\u00eda estadounidense evita una recesi\u00f3n al tiempo que bajan los tipos de inter\u00e9s, la actividad econ\u00f3mica podr\u00eda cobrar impulso para respaldar los precios de la energ\u00eda y de las acciones energ\u00e9ticas. Dado que los tipos de inter\u00e9s parecen haber tocado techo, con la mayor\u00eda del mercado haciendo una pausa en la pr\u00f3xima decisi\u00f3n de tipos de inter\u00e9s de la Reserva Federal, la ca\u00edda del ETF DIG podr\u00eda encontrar su suelo a medida que la econom\u00eda abra la puerta al crecimiento a medio y largo plazo, dejando el nivel de $46.17 como probable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Fuentes: Proshares, Refinitiv, Financial Times, Reuters, CME Fedwatch Tool, TradingView<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The ProShares Ultra Oil &amp; Gas ETF \u2013 DIG (ISIN: US74347G7051) tracks the performance of the Dow Jones U.S. Oil and Gas index. The index comprises companies primarily operating in the oil and gas sector, with the main activities including exploration and production, oil equipment and services, among others. The ETF comprises mainly large-cap stocks, [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.10 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>ProShares Ultra Oil &amp; Gas ETF Plummets 20% Year-To-Date On Weaker Energy Prices<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The ProShares Ultra Oil &amp; Gas ETF \u2013 DIG (ISIN: US74347G7051) tracks the performance of the Dow Jones U.S. Oil and Gas index.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/es\/inversion\/el-etf-proshares-ultra-oil-gas-se-desploma-un-20-en-lo-que-va-de-ano-por-la-caida-de-los-precios-de-la-energia\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ProShares Ultra Oil &amp; 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