{"id":2981,"date":"2023-05-19T14:32:14","date_gmt":"2023-05-19T14:32:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/?p=2981"},"modified":"2023-05-19T14:32:15","modified_gmt":"2023-05-19T14:32:15","slug":"the-technology-sector-spdr-etf-starts-the-year-in-a-cheerful-mood","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/es\/inversion\/el-etf-spdr-del-sector-tecnologico-comienza-el-ano-con-buen-humor\/","title":{"rendered":"El ETF SPDR del sector tecnol\u00f3gico comienza el a\u00f1o con buen humor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>El Technology Sector SPDR ETF - XLK (ISIN: US81369Y8030) sigue la evoluci\u00f3n de los valores tecnol\u00f3gicos incluidos en el \u00edndice S&amp;P500. El ETF expone a los inversores a empresas de los sectores de hardware tecnol\u00f3gico, software, servicios inform\u00e1ticos y semiconductores, entre otros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Debido a los elevados tipos de inter\u00e9s, que erosionaron los beneficios por los mayores costes de los pr\u00e9stamos y debilitaron las valoraciones con tipos de descuento m\u00e1s altos, el XLK se desplom\u00f3 un 28,43% en 2022. Las principales acciones tecnol\u00f3gicas se vieron muy presionadas durante este periodo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sin embargo, la narrativa est\u00e1 cambiando. Ahora que la econom\u00eda estadounidense da se\u00f1ales de moderaci\u00f3n y los tipos de inter\u00e9s parecen acercarse a su nivel m\u00e1ximo, los inversores conf\u00edan m\u00e1s en un posible giro de la Reserva Federal. El XLK ha ganado m\u00e1s de una cuarta parte de su valor en lo que va de a\u00f1o y va camino de recuperar todas las p\u00e9rdidas de 2022 si los inversores alcistas no levantan el pie del acelerador. \u00bfDar\u00e1n las condiciones macroecon\u00f3micas al XLK m\u00e1s margen de maniobra al alza?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>T\u00e9cnicos<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>La sesi\u00f3n de 2022 del XLK se caracteriz\u00f3 por un brusco giro a la baja, con la formaci\u00f3n de un patr\u00f3n de canal descendente y el cruce del precio por debajo de la media m\u00f3vil de 100 d\u00edas para validar la pronunciada tendencia bajista. El soporte se estableci\u00f3 en el nivel de $122.71, mientras que el nivel de $151.67 form\u00f3 la resistencia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El impulso alcista se inici\u00f3 en 2023 y deshizo el nivel de resistencia, ya que la oferta no pudo igualar la acumulaci\u00f3n de apetito alcista en el nivel de $151.67. Se produjo una ruptura de gran volumen por encima del nivel, lo que indica que los toros han estado presidiendo el mercado, ya que su apetito por los valores tecnol\u00f3gicos ahuyenta a los osos de participar en el mercado. Si el impulso alcista se mantiene, es probable que el nivel de $151.67 act\u00fae como soporte, mientras que el nivel de $163.75, que forma el m\u00e1ximo de 2022 antes de la venta, constituye el nivel de resistencia m\u00e1s inmediato.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Con los inversores alcistas al frente, es probable que el nivel de $163.75 se materialice como destino de la cotizaci\u00f3n del XLK. El m\u00e1ximo del ETF en $176.42 podr\u00eda entrar en juego si los inversores alcistas intentan disparar a la luna con una ruptura convincente por encima del nivel de $163.75.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sin embargo, los inversores alcistas deber\u00edan proceder con cautela, dado que el \u00edndice de fuerza relativa del XLK apunta a condiciones de sobrecompra. Si el impulso alcista comienza a ceder, el cambio de tendencia podr\u00eda ser inminente. Los inversores alcistas que deseen comprar en el ETF podr\u00edan ir en largo en un retroceso, por lo que el nivel de $151.67 es el punto de inter\u00e9s m\u00e1s probable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"897\" height=\"466\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1905Tech1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2982\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1905Tech1.png 897w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1905Tech1-300x156.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1905Tech1-768x399.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1905Tech1-18x9.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 897px) 100vw, 897px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2>Fundamentales<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Con los mercados volviendo al sentimiento de riesgo, las acciones tecnol\u00f3gicas se han visto respaldadas y han subido por la posibilidad de que la Reserva Federal haga una pausa en los tipos de inter\u00e9s. Los traders apuestan ahora por una probabilidad de tres sobre cinco de que la Reserva Federal haga una pausa en los tipos en la pr\u00f3xima reuni\u00f3n de junio, mientras que se espera que la relajaci\u00f3n (reducci\u00f3n) de los tipos de inter\u00e9s comience ya en noviembre de 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Los activos de riesgo, especialmente los valores tecnol\u00f3gicos, que dependen en gran medida de la deuda para financiar la investigaci\u00f3n y el desarrollo, y la expansi\u00f3n, probablemente se beneficiar\u00e1n m\u00e1s a medida que sus resultados no se vean mermados por los depredadores tipos de inter\u00e9s elevados. Las valoraciones se mover\u00e1n probablemente hacia el norte si los tipos de inter\u00e9s disminuyen, dando a los valores tecnol\u00f3gicos margen de maniobra al alza.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Con 64 valores tecnol\u00f3gicos diferentes, los diez primeros de XLK representan casi el 71% del total. Sin embargo, de las diez principales participaciones, dos empresas, Microsoft y Apple, representan casi la mitad de toda la cartera, es decir, el 48%. Por lo tanto, el XLK est\u00e1 muy expuesto a Microsoft (ISIN: US5949181045) y Apple (ISIN: US0378331005) y es probable que se mueva en la direcci\u00f3n de una u otra o de ambas. Si Microsoft y Apple tienen un buen d\u00eda, tambi\u00e9n lo tendr\u00e1 el ETF SPDR del sector tecnol\u00f3gico, como se muestra a continuaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"895\" height=\"449\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1905tech2.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2983\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1905tech2.png 895w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1905tech2-300x151.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1905tech2-768x385.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1905tech2-18x9.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 895px) 100vw, 895px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"861\" height=\"500\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1905Tech3.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2984\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1905Tech3.png 861w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1905Tech3-300x174.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1905Tech3-768x446.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1905Tech3-18x10.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 861px) 100vw, 861px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Los sectores de software, hardware tecnol\u00f3gico y semiconductores son las participaciones m\u00e1s destacadas del ETF. Seg\u00fan McKinsey, el sector de los semiconductores est\u00e1 llamado a convertirse en una industria de un bill\u00f3n de d\u00f3lares en 2030. El auge de la Inteligencia Artificial (IA) ha contribuido a\u00fan m\u00e1s a los buenos resultados del sector tecnol\u00f3gico este a\u00f1o. Dado que la IA se est\u00e1 convirtiendo en parte integrante de la vida cotidiana, desde el hogar a la escuela, pasando por la oficina, cabe esperar un gran crecimiento de los valores tecnol\u00f3gicos a medida que la tecnolog\u00eda vaya madurando.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"902\" height=\"455\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1905Tech4.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2985\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1905Tech4.png 902w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1905Tech4-300x151.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1905Tech4-768x387.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1905Tech4-18x9.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 902px) 100vw, 902px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2>Resumen<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Si los tipos de inter\u00e9s est\u00e1n realmente en su punto \u00e1lgido, podr\u00edan enfriarse a corto y medio plazo. De ser as\u00ed, el XLK podr\u00eda moverse al alza, haciendo probable el nivel de $163.75. Es probable que los valores tecnol\u00f3gicos se suban a la ola gracias al prometedor futuro de la industria de los semiconductores y la inteligencia artificial.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Fuentes: SPDR, State Street Global Advisors, Financial Times, McKinsey, CME FedWatch Tool, CNBC<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Technology Sector SPDR ETF &#8211; XLK (ISIN: US81369Y8030) tracks the performance of tech stocks that fall under the S&amp;P500 Index. The ETF exposes investors to companies in the technology hardware, software, IT services and semiconductor industries, amongst others. Due to high-interest rates, which eroded earnings on higher borrowing costs and weakened valuations with higher [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.10 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Technology Sector SPDR ETF Starts The Year In A Cheerful Mood<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Technology Sector SPDR ETF - XLK (ISIN: US81369Y8030) tracks the performance of tech stocks that fall under the S&amp;P500 Index. 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