{"id":2620,"date":"2023-04-24T15:23:59","date_gmt":"2023-04-24T15:23:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/?p=2620"},"modified":"2023-04-24T15:32:15","modified_gmt":"2023-04-24T15:32:15","slug":"invesco-sp500-top-50-etf-on-a-road-to-recovery-after-2022s-bloodbath","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/es\/inversion\/el-etf-invesco-sp500-top-50-se-recupera-tras-las-perdidas-de-2022\/","title":{"rendered":"El ETF Invesco S&amp;P500 Top 50 se recupera tras las p\u00e9rdidas de 2022"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>El Invesco S&amp;P500 Top 50 ETF (ISIN: US46137V2337) experiment\u00f3 su peor a\u00f1o desde su creaci\u00f3n en 2005, tras perder algo m\u00e1s de una cuarta parte de su valor, un triste 25,82%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El ETF se vio impulsado a la baja por el aumento de los costes de financiaci\u00f3n, impulsado por el ciclo de subidas de tipos m\u00e1s r\u00e1pido de las \u00faltimas d\u00e9cadas por parte de la Reserva Federal. Los costes de endeudamiento se dispararon al tiempo que se hund\u00edan las perspectivas de crecimiento, dejando desangrados a los 50 principales componentes del S&amp;P500.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>La posibilidad de una pausa o pivote de los tipos de la Fed ha devuelto la esperanza en las perspectivas de los 50 principales, que han recuperado un 13,24% en lo que va de a\u00f1o. Los inversores alcistas esperan que lo peor haya pasado para las valoraciones del Top 50 del S&amp;P500, pero \u00bfes esto s\u00f3lo el principio, con una recesi\u00f3n ahora como posibilidad?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>T\u00e9cnicos<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>El ETF Invesco S&amp;P500 Top 50 encontr\u00f3 un camino de menor resistencia que lo vio tender a la baja en 2022, formando un patr\u00f3n de canal descendente cuando el precio cruz\u00f3 por debajo de la media m\u00f3vil de 100 d\u00edas. El soporte y la resistencia se formaron en los niveles de 260,14 $ y 328,16 $, respectivamente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En diciembre de 2022 se estableci\u00f3 un m\u00ednimo m\u00e1s alto en el nivel de 271,07 $, ya que los inversores alcistas compraron en el ETF por encima de los m\u00ednimos de 2022 en el soporte. El m\u00ednimo m\u00e1s alto llev\u00f3 a la acci\u00f3n del precio a una ruptura de gran volumen del canal ascendente, con los alcistas apoyando el movimiento al alza con una fuerte convicci\u00f3n. La acci\u00f3n del precio se invirti\u00f3 en el nivel de 307,80 $ para enviar el ETF a la baja antes de que los alcistas encontraran inter\u00e9s en el 61,80% de Fibonacci. El resultado fue una subida por encima del m\u00e1ximo de 307,80 $, validando el inicio de una posible tendencia alcista.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Si los alcistas desean mantener el control del mercado, podr\u00edan encontrar el nivel de 328,16 $ como objetivo probable si se comprometen con el movimiento alcista apoyado por un fuerte volumen de compra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Por otra parte, es probable que se produzca un retroceso si los inversores bajistas tratan de deshacer algunas de las ondas alcistas. Si se produce un retroceso, es probable que los alcistas compren en el ETF a un precio con descuento en el Golden Ratio de 285,10 $ o en el pivote m\u00ednimo superior de 271,07 $.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"868\" height=\"436\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/240423_Invesco1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2621\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/240423_Invesco1.png 868w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/240423_Invesco1-300x151.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/240423_Invesco1-768x386.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/240423_Invesco1-18x9.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 868px) 100vw, 868px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2>Fundamentales<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>El Invesco S&amp;P500 Top 50 ETF est\u00e1 compuesto predominantemente por empresas de los sectores tecnol\u00f3gico y sanitario. Ambos sectores se han visto presionados en el \u00faltimo a\u00f1o debido al entorno de elevada inflaci\u00f3n y tipos de inter\u00e9s. Sin embargo, los valores tecnol\u00f3gicos, considerados valores de crecimiento por su alta rentabilidad y r\u00e1pido ritmo de crecimiento, sufrieron m\u00e1s p\u00e9rdidas que los valores sanitarios, que suelen ser m\u00e1s defensivos, debido a su necesidad a lo largo de los ciclos econ\u00f3micos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"865\" height=\"379\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/240423_Invesco2.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2622\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/240423_Invesco2.png 865w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/240423_Invesco2-300x131.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/240423_Invesco2-768x336.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/240423_Invesco2-18x8.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 865px) 100vw, 865px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>La siguiente ilustraci\u00f3n muestra que la Reserva Federal inici\u00f3 su ciclo de subidas de tipos en el primer trimestre de 2022 con una subida de 25 puntos b\u00e1sicos. El ETF Invesco S&amp;P500 Top 50 empez\u00f3 a empeorar durante el trimestre, ya que los inversores tem\u00edan que el aumento de los costes de endeudamiento lastrara los beneficios. Al mismo tiempo, las valoraciones se descontaron con una tasa de descuento mucho mayor. El resultado fue un desplome del 25% en el Invesco S&amp;P500 Top 50 ETF en el primer trimestre de 2022. Por otra parte, la relaci\u00f3n inversa entre el precio del ETF y los tipos de inter\u00e9s se pone de manifiesto por el periodo de relajaci\u00f3n de los tipos y el aumento del valor del ETF en un 45% en el primer trimestre de 2020.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"834\" height=\"484\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/240423_Invesco3.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2623\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/240423_Invesco3.png 834w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/240423_Invesco3-300x174.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/240423_Invesco3-768x446.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/240423_Invesco3-18x10.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 834px) 100vw, 834px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Las acciones tecnol\u00f3gicas, muy sensibles a los costes de endeudamiento, sufrieron las mayores p\u00e9rdidas, con los siete primeros valores tecnol\u00f3gicos del Invesco S&amp;P500 Top 50 todos en negativo sobre una base hist\u00f3rica de un a\u00f1o. La rentabilidad media anual fue del -14,13%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"875\" height=\"467\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/240423_Invesco4.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2624\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/240423_Invesco4.png 875w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/240423_Invesco4-300x160.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/240423_Invesco4-768x410.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/240423_Invesco4-18x10.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 875px) 100vw, 875px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Las acciones del sector sanitario, por su parte, sufrieron p\u00e9rdidas menores que los tecnol\u00f3gicos, mientras que algunos de los principales valores sanitarios del ETF S&amp;P500 Top 50 ganaron mucho en un periodo de un a\u00f1o. De los siete principales valores sanitarios del ETF Invesco S&amp;P500 Top 50, se obtuvo un crecimiento medio del 7,61% desde abril de 2022, lo que demuestra a\u00fan m\u00e1s la resistencia de los valores sanitarios como defensivos en tiempos de tensi\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"876\" height=\"449\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/240423_Invesco5.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2625\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/240423_Invesco5.png 876w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/240423_Invesco5-300x154.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/240423_Invesco5-768x394.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/240423_Invesco5-18x9.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 876px) 100vw, 876px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><br><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Dentro del Invesco S&amp;P500 Top 50 ETF, las acciones del sector tecnol\u00f3gico tienen una ratio de cobertura de intereses del 18,69%, que se ve superado por la ratio de cobertura de intereses del 36,66% de los valores del sector sanitario. Una mayor ratio de cobertura de intereses es m\u00e1s saludable, ya que revela que una empresa puede cubrir con creces sus obligaciones de deuda. Con la subida de los tipos de inter\u00e9s en 2022, los valores tecnol\u00f3gicos estuvieron muy expuestos a las obligaciones de deuda, lo que lastr\u00f3 el rendimiento general del sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Resumen<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Dado que las acciones del sector tecnol\u00f3gico constituyen la mayor parte del Invesco S&amp;P500 Top 50 ETF, la subida de los tipos de inter\u00e9s afect\u00f3 negativamente al ETF, a pesar del car\u00e1cter defensivo del segundo mayor sector al que est\u00e1 expuesto el ETF. Es probable que la recuperaci\u00f3n est\u00e9 en marcha y contin\u00fae a medio y largo plazo, ya que la econom\u00eda estadounidense muestra signos de enfriamiento, junto con las expectativas de que los tipos se acerquen a su nivel m\u00e1ximo. Seg\u00fan la herramienta FedWatch de CME, los inversores valoran ahora en un 70,35% la posibilidad de que la Reserva Federal flexibilice los tipos a finales de 2023. Si los tipos comienzan a reducirse, el Invesco S&amp;P500 Top 50 ETF probablemente experimentar\u00e1 vientos de cola, haciendo probable el nivel de 328,16 $.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Fuentes: Invesco, S&amp;P Global, Financial Times, Factset, Reuters, Reserva Federal<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Invesco S&amp;P500 Top 50 ETF (ISIN: US46137V2337) experienced its worst year since its inception in 2005 after shedding just above a quarter of its value, a dismal 25.82%. Driving the ETF lower was a surge in borrowing costs fuelled by the fastest rate hiking cycle by the Federal Reserve in decades. Borrowing costs surged while [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[42,75,24],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.10 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Invesco S&amp;P500 Top 50 ETF On A Road To Recovery After 2022\u2019s Bloodbath<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Invesco S&amp;P500 Top 50 ETF (ISIN: US46137V2337) experienced its worst year since its inception in 2005 after shedding just above a quarter of its value, a dismal 25.82%.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/es\/inversion\/el-etf-invesco-sp500-top-50-se-recupera-tras-las-perdidas-de-2022\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" 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