{"id":2065,"date":"2023-03-14T16:01:36","date_gmt":"2023-03-14T16:01:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/?p=2065"},"modified":"2023-03-14T16:15:21","modified_gmt":"2023-03-14T16:15:21","slug":"u-s-inflation-sets-the-tone-for-the-sp500","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/es\/comercio\/la-inflacion-estadounidense-establece-el-tono-para-el-sp500\/","title":{"rendered":"La inflaci\u00f3n de EE. UU. marca la pauta para el S&P500"},"content":{"rendered":"

Los futuros del S&P500 (CME: ES) recientemente experimentaron un fuerte impulso a la baja despu\u00e9s de realizar una ca\u00edda de 4% desde los m\u00e1ximos de la semana pasada debido a la crisis del sector bancario de EE. UU. La segunda mayor quiebra bancaria desde la crisis financiera de 2008 conmocion\u00f3 a los mercados, ya que los traders e inversores tem\u00edan los riesgos de contagio en el sector bancario.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Con el polvo del sector bancario aparentemente asent\u00e1ndose, el IPC de EE. UU., que estuvo en l\u00ednea con el consenso interanual en 6%, podr\u00eda restaurar las esperanzas de un alza de tasas menor de 25 puntos b\u00e1sicos o ninguna. Si la crisis del sector bancario se enfr\u00eda, es probable que los futuros del S&P500 experimenten una acci\u00f3n de precio alcista a corto plazo. La desinflaci\u00f3n podr\u00eda beneficiar al consumidor estadounidense y provocar un giro de la Fed para limitar los costos de endeudamiento.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u00e9cnicos <\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

La tendencia bajista de los futuros del S&P500 se estableci\u00f3 por completo luego de una ruptura por debajo del patr\u00f3n del canal ascendente y el promedio m\u00f3vil de 100 d\u00edas. El soporte y la resistencia se establecieron en los niveles 3871.50 y 4018.00, respectivamente.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Los bajistas probablemente no lograron bajar el \u00edndice luego de una consolidaci\u00f3n lateral en el soporte. Se form\u00f3 un patr\u00f3n rectangular con soporte y resistencia en los niveles 3887.50 y 3934.25, respectivamente. Una ruptura por encima de la resistencia del patr\u00f3n de consolidaci\u00f3n en grandes vol\u00famenes podr\u00eda indicar el final de la consolidaci\u00f3n y el comienzo de una tendencia alcista a corto plazo. Si el \u00edndice sube, los operadores alcistas buscar\u00e1n la proporci\u00f3n \u00e1urea de retroceso de Fibonacci de 61.80% en el nivel de 4001.75 para niveles de toma de ganancias.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Alternativamente, los bajistas buscar\u00e1n oportunidades cortas en la resistencia del patr\u00f3n de consolidaci\u00f3n o en la proporci\u00f3n \u00e1urea del retroceso de Fibonacci 61.80% en 4001.75 si el \u00edndice sube. Es probable que los operadores bajistas asignen el nivel de soporte de 3871.50 como un nivel de obtenci\u00f3n de ganancias si el \u00edndice se mueve a la baja.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Resumen<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Tras la publicaci\u00f3n de la inflaci\u00f3n de EE. UU., que disminuy\u00f3 a\u00f1o tras a\u00f1o, es probable que los futuros del S&P500 encuentren una acci\u00f3n de precios alcista, ya que los operadores se regocijan por la falta de avance de la inflaci\u00f3n en febrero. Los operadores ahora recurrir\u00e1n a los informes de ventas minoristas y del mercado laboral de EE. UU. m\u00e1s adelante, ya que podr\u00edan proporcionar volatilidad a corto plazo. A pesar de que ambos informes no tienen tanto peso como los informes de inflaci\u00f3n de EE. UU., los operadores buscar\u00e1n se\u00f1ales de un fortalecimiento de la inflaci\u00f3n que podr\u00eda afectar las valoraciones de las empresas y el S&P500.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fuentes: Reuters, TradingView <\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Los futuros del S&P500 (CME: ES) recientemente experimentaron un fuerte impulso a la baja despu\u00e9s de realizar una ca\u00edda de 4% desde los m\u00e1ximos de la semana pasada debido a la crisis del sector bancario de EE. UU. La segunda mayor quiebra bancaria desde la crisis financiera de 2008 conmocion\u00f3 a los mercados, ya que los comerciantes e inversores tem\u00edan los riesgos de contagio en el sector bancario. Con [\u2026]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[4],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\nU.S. Inflation Sets the Tone for The S&P500 - Trive Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/es\/comercio\/la-inflacion-estadounidense-establece-el-tono-para-el-sp500\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"U.S. Inflation Sets the Tone for The S&P500\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The S&P500 futures (CME: ES) recently experienced severe downside momentum after realising a 4% plunge from last week\u2019s highs on the back of the U.S. banking sector crisis.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/es\/comercio\/la-inflacion-estadounidense-establece-el-tono-para-el-sp500\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Trive Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-03-14T16:01:36+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-03-14T16:15:21+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/CHART-SOCIAL-MEDIA-TEMPLATE-37.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"720\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"U.S. Inflation Sets the Tone for The S&P500\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"The S&P500 futures (CME: ES) recently experienced severe downside momentum after realising a 4% plunge from last week\u2019s highs on the back of the U.S. banking sector crisis.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/CHART-SOCIAL-MEDIA-TEMPLATE-37.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Escrito por\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tiempo de lectura\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutos\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/es\/comercio\/la-inflacion-estadounidense-establece-el-tono-para-el-sp500\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/es\/comercio\/la-inflacion-estadounidense-establece-el-tono-para-el-sp500\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"\",\"@id\":\"\"},\"headline\":\"U.S. Inflation Sets the Tone for The S&P500\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-03-14T16:01:36+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-03-14T16:15:21+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/es\/comercio\/la-inflacion-estadounidense-establece-el-tono-para-el-sp500\/\"},\"wordCount\":388,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Trading\"],\"inLanguage\":\"es\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/es\/comercio\/la-inflacion-estadounidense-establece-el-tono-para-el-sp500\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/es\/comercio\/la-inflacion-estadounidense-establece-el-tono-para-el-sp500\/\",\"name\":\"U.S. Inflation Sets the Tone for The S&P500 - 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