Despu\u00e9s de caer por debajo de su m\u00e1ximo reciente el viernes, los futuros del FTSE 100 (TVC: UKX) se recuperaron para cerrar el lunes con nuevos m\u00e1ximos hist\u00f3ricos. Reforzada por la esperanza renovada de una recesi\u00f3n menos profunda y la moderaci\u00f3n de las presiones inflacionarias, la confianza volvi\u00f3 a entrar en el sentimiento del mercado en las perspectivas de la econom\u00eda del Reino Unido en el futuro. Con las estad\u00edsticas de desempleo a la vista, esta confianza podr\u00eda confirmarse o desperdiciarse cuando el mercado abra el martes. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
El reciente pron\u00f3stico econ\u00f3mico de invierno de la Comisi\u00f3n Europea tambi\u00e9n impuls\u00f3 al alza los \u00edndices burs\u00e1tiles europeos despu\u00e9s de pronosticar que la eurozona podr\u00eda caer en una recesi\u00f3n t\u00e9cnica. Una previsi\u00f3n de crecimiento revisada de 0,9% para 2023 proporcion\u00f3 cierto impulso alcista, lo que hizo que el FTSE 100 subiera 0,83%. Los precios m\u00e1s bajos del petr\u00f3leo y el gas contin\u00faan pesando sobre el desempe\u00f1o del sector energ\u00e9tico, que representa cerca de 10% del \u00edndice. Sin embargo, el rendimiento superior en el sector industrial (12%) y los bienes de consumo b\u00e1sico (18%) compensa con creces la tensi\u00f3n del sector energ\u00e9tico. Ahora, cotizando en nuevos m\u00e1ximos, las estad\u00edsticas de desempleo del Reino Unido que se publicar\u00e1n antes del mercado pueden impulsar el sentimiento por las nubes en una direcci\u00f3n u otra en lo que puede ser un momento crucial para el rendimiento de los futuros del \u00edndice. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
T\u00e9cnicos<\/strong> <\/h2>\n\n\n\n
El reciente repunte de los futuros ha formado un patr\u00f3n de cu\u00f1a ascendente. El impulso alcista se mantiene por el momento, con los futuros cotizando a niveles muy por encima de la media m\u00f3vil de 50 per\u00edodos. Las estad\u00edsticas de desempleo, sin embargo, pueden cambiar la perspectiva de la econom\u00eda del Reino Unido a medida que avanzamos en lo que podr\u00eda forzar una acci\u00f3n direccional del precio. Si el desempleo se mantiene estable en 3,7% para alcanzar el consenso, es posible que se produzca una subida para probar el nivel superior de la cu\u00f1a en torno a 7980,45, donde puede encontrar resistencia. Una ruptura por encima podr\u00eda indicar m\u00e1s alza para permanecer en los futuros que ya cotizan en m\u00e1ximos hist\u00f3ricos. Un mercado laboral ajustado tambi\u00e9n puede fortalecer a la libra, lo que podr\u00eda limitar el alza de las acciones. Si el desempleo resulta m\u00e1s alto de lo esperado, los temores de recesi\u00f3n pueden volver a apoderarse de la confianza y empujar los futuros a la baja. Esto enfocar\u00eda el nivel inferior de la cu\u00f1a en 7873,15. Una ruptura por debajo del soporte podr\u00eda desencadenar un movimiento a la baja para buscar un soporte m\u00e1s bajo en 7810,55. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Resumen<\/strong> <\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Las estad\u00edsticas de desempleo del Reino Unido pueden ser un factor clave para los futuros del \u00edndice en el pr\u00f3ximo d\u00eda de negociaci\u00f3n. Si las estad\u00edsticas se perciben como positivas, los futuros podr\u00edan probarse en 7980,45, mientras que las estad\u00edsticas negativas podr\u00edan forzar cierta presi\u00f3n a la baja para buscar soporte en 7873,15 y 7810,55. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Fuentes: Koyfin, Tradingview, Bolsa de Valores de Londres <\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
After slipping below its recent high on Friday, the FTSE 100 futures (TVC: UKX) recovered to close Monday trading on new historical highs. Bolstered by renewed hope of a shallower recession and moderating inflationary pressures, confidence re-entered the market\u2019s sentiment in the outlook for the UK economy going forward. With unemployment statistics looming, this confidence […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[4],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\n
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![\"\"](\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/2023.02.14-TVA-UKX-Trade-Outlook-1024x515.png\")
<\/figure>\n\n\n\n