{"id":2930,"date":"2023-05-17T07:31:58","date_gmt":"2023-05-17T07:31:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/?p=2930"},"modified":"2023-05-17T07:31:59","modified_gmt":"2023-05-17T07:31:59","slug":"eurusd-retreats-slightly-despite-monthly-u-s-retail-sales-coming-in-lower-than-expected","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/de\/handel\/eurusd-tendiert-leicht-abwarts\/","title":{"rendered":"EURUSD tendiert leicht abw\u00e4rts"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Nach einem positiven Start in die Woche gab der EURUSD am Dienstag um 12 Basispunkte nach, nachdem die US-Einzelhandelsums\u00e4tze und die Industrieproduktion im Jahresvergleich gestiegen waren.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Die Wahrscheinlichkeit einer Zinserh\u00f6hung durch die Federal Reserve auf ihrer n\u00e4chsten Sitzung stieg im Vergleich zur Vorwoche um 16,4 %, obwohl die Wahrscheinlichkeit einer Zinspause nach wie vor sehr gering ist. Der Markt blieb relativ ruhig, da sich die Volatilit\u00e4t im Vorfeld der Ver\u00f6ffentlichung des Verbraucherpreisindex f\u00fcr die Eurozone, der US-Arbeitsmarktdaten und der mit Spannung erwarteten Rede des Fed-Vorsitzenden Powell am Ende der Woche f\u00fcr einige Tage erholte.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Technische Analyse<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Die EURUSD-Paarung bleibt innerhalb ihrer Unterst\u00fctzungs- und Widerstandsbereiche bei 1,08292 bzw. 1,09094. Der Kurs bewegt sich deutlich unterhalb seines 100-Tage-Durchschnitts, was auf eine Fortsetzung des Abw\u00e4rtstrends innerhalb eines abw\u00e4rts gerichteten Kanalmusters hindeutet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Da sich der Kurs auf halbem Weg zwischen Unterst\u00fctzung und Widerstand befindet, werden Bullen und B\u00e4ren darum k\u00e4mpfen, das Paar in eine Richtung zu bewegen, wobei die Fundamentaldaten diese Bewegung unterst\u00fctzen. Die Bullen werden wahrscheinlich den Wert von 1,09094 anpeilen, wenn der US-Markt Schw\u00e4che zeigt oder die Inflation in Europa anzieht. Umgekehrt werden die B\u00e4ren wahrscheinlich den Wert von 1,08292 ins Visier nehmen, wenn der US-Markt einen Aufw\u00e4rtstrend des USD unterst\u00fctzt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"987\" height=\"556\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1705EURUSD.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2931\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1705EURUSD.png 987w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1705EURUSD-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1705EURUSD-768x433.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1705EURUSD-18x10.png 18w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1705EURUSD-800x450.png 800w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 987px) 100vw, 987px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2>Zusammenfassung<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Trader gehen mit einer Wahrscheinlichkeit von 83,2 % davon aus, dass die Federal Reserve bei der anstehenden Entscheidung eine Zinspause einlegen wird. Die schw\u00e4chelnde US-Wirtschaft und die Sorgen vor einer harten Landung bei weiteren Zinserh\u00f6hungen st\u00fctzen diese Annahme. Auf der anderen Atlantikseite wird erwartet, dass die Inflationsrate der Europ\u00e4ischen Zentralbank im April 7 % erreichen wird und damit etwas mehr als 200 Basispunkte h\u00f6her liegt als in den USA. Die EZB (Europ\u00e4ischen Zentralbank) wird die Zinsen wahrscheinlich weiter anheben, um die Inflation in Richtung der Zielmarke von 2 % zu treiben, w\u00e4hrend die Federal Reserve weniger zu tun haben wird, um dasselbe Ziel zu erreichen. Der EUR wird wahrscheinlich unterst\u00fctzt werden, so dass die Marke von 1,09094 wahrscheinlich ist.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Quellen: Eurostat, Reuters, TradingView<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After opening the week on a positive note, the EURUSD currency pair retreated 12 basis points in Tuesday\u2019s trading session as year-on-year U.S. Retail Sales and Industrial production picked up steam. Probabilities of a Fed rate hike in the upcoming meeting are up 16.4% from a week ago, although still minuscule to the likelihood of [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":2644,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[4],"tags":[22],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.10 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>EURUSD Retreats Slightly Despite Monthly U.S. Retail Sales Coming In Lower Than Expected<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"After opening the week on a positive note, the EURUSD currency pair retreated 12 basis points in Tuesday\u2019s trading session as year-on-year U.S. Retail Sales and Industrial production picked up steam.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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