{"id":2829,"date":"2023-05-10T12:48:37","date_gmt":"2023-05-10T12:48:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/?p=2829"},"modified":"2023-05-10T13:01:32","modified_gmt":"2023-05-10T13:01:32","slug":"sp500-futures-languishes-as-traders-anticipate-u-s-inflation-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/de\/handel\/inflationserwartungen-belasten-sp-500\/","title":{"rendered":"Inflationserwartungen belasten S&amp;P 500"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Die Handelsaktivit\u00e4t des S&amp;P-500-Future (CME: ES) hat nachgelassen, da die Trader in Erwartung der US-Inflationsdaten und des Arbeitsmarktberichts an der Seitenlinie warten.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Eine sp\u00e4te Erholung in der Vorwoche f\u00fchrte dazu, dass der Index nur die H\u00e4lfte der w\u00f6chentlichen Verluste, die durch Rezessions\u00e4ngste verursacht wurden, wieder aufholen konnte. Laut dem CME FedWatch Tool erwarten Trader eine Zinspause bei der n\u00e4chsten Sitzung der Federal Reserve und eine Lockerung bereits im Juli, was den S&amp;P-500-Future aufgrund der weniger aggressiven Kreditkosten Auftrieb geben k\u00f6nnte.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Technische Analyse<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Nachdem der S&amp;P-500-Future die Unterst\u00fctzung bei 4.070,00 zur\u00fcckgewiesen hatte, bewegte er sich in Richtung des 61,80 % Fibonacci Retracement Golden Ratio. Der Index stie\u00df bei 4.197,50 auf Widerstand beim Golden Ratio. Die Volumina gingen zur\u00fcck, als sich der Preis dem Golden Ratio n\u00e4herte, und es bildete sich im Vorfeld der US-Inflationsdaten ein enges absteigendes Kanalmuster.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sollte die Inflation \u00fcberraschend h\u00f6her ausfallen, wird der Index wahrscheinlich den Erwartungen h\u00f6herer Zinsen hinterherhinken und die Marke von 4.070,00 erreichen. Ein Durchbruch unter das fallende Kanalmuster bei hohem Volumen k\u00f6nnte eine Abw\u00e4rtsbewegung best\u00e4tigen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Im Gegensatz dazu k\u00f6nnten zinsbullische Trader durch schw\u00e4chere Inflationsdaten, die eine Pause bei den Zinserh\u00f6hungen ank\u00fcndigen, etwas Auftrieb erhalten. Die Paarung d\u00fcrfte sich dem Wert von 4.197,50 n\u00e4hern, sollte es bei hohem Volumen zu einem Durchbruch durch das r\u00fcckl\u00e4ufige Kanalmuster kommen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"873\" height=\"394\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1005_SP.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2830\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1005_SP.png 873w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1005_SP-300x135.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1005_SP-768x347.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/1005_SP-18x8.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 873px) 100vw, 873px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2>Zusammenfassung<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Bei der Ver\u00f6ffentlichung der US-Inflationsdaten werden die Trader wahrscheinlich den Finger am Abzug haben, was zu einer erh\u00f6hten Volatilit\u00e4t des Index f\u00fchren wird. Die Arbeitsmarktdaten, die am Donnerstag ver\u00f6ffentlicht werden, stellen eine weitere Chance bzw. Herausforderung f\u00fcr die Trader dar, da sie dar\u00fcber entscheiden werden, ob die Daten eine ausreichende Rezessionsgefahr darstellen oder ob eine weitere Zinserh\u00f6hung bevorsteht.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Quellen: CME FedWatch Tool, Reuters, TradingView<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The S&amp;P500 Futures (CME: ES) trading activity has subsided as traders wait on the sidelines in anticipation of the U.S. Inflation Data and Labour Market Reports. A late recovery in the prior week only led the index to recover half of the week&#8217;s losses imposed by recessionary fears. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":2618,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[4],"tags":[48,24],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.10 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>S&amp;P500 Futures Languishes As Traders Anticipate U.S. Inflation Data<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The S&amp;P500 Futures (CME: ES) trading activity has subsided as traders wait on the sidelines in anticipation of the U.S. Inflation Data and Labour Market Reports.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/de\/handel\/inflationserwartungen-belasten-sp-500\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"de_DE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" 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