{"id":2427,"date":"2023-04-06T13:53:23","date_gmt":"2023-04-06T13:53:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/?p=2427"},"modified":"2023-04-06T13:53:24","modified_gmt":"2023-04-06T13:53:24","slug":"sp500-futures-traders-undermine-bullish-rally-unconvincingly","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/de\/handel\/uneinigkeit-in-der-sp500-aufwartsrallye\/","title":{"rendered":"Uneinigkeit in der S&amp;P500-Aufw\u00e4rtsrallye"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Die S&amp;P500-Futures (CME: ES) sind von einem fast zweimonatigen Hoch zur\u00fcckgekommen, da die Bef\u00fcrchtungen einer Verlangsamung der US-Wirtschaft nach einer Schw\u00e4che auf dem Arbeitsmarkt und im verarbeitenden Gewerbe \u00fcberwogen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Die Einkaufsmanagerindizes des verarbeitenden Gewerbes bewegten sich in der N\u00e4he eines DreiJahres-Tiefs, w\u00e4hrend der Arbeitsmarkt die M\u00e4rkte mit einem deutlichen R\u00fcckgang der offenen\nStellen \u00fcberraschte. Trader werden ihre Augen f\u00fcr den Rest der Woche auf die Arbeitsm\u00e4rkte\nrichten, da die Non-Farm Payrolls anstehen. Die heutigen Arbeitsmarktberichte, einschlie\u00dflich der Erstantr\u00e4ge auf Arbeitslosenunterst\u00fctzung und der fortlaufenden Antr\u00e4ge auf\nArbeitslosenunterst\u00fctzung, stiegen auf 228.000 bzw. 1.823.000 und erreichten damit ein Niveau, das seit einiger Zeit nicht mehr gesehen wurde und \u00fcber den Konsenswerten liegt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Technische Analyse<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Die S&amp;P500-Futures tendierten h\u00f6her, nachdem der Kurs seinen gleitenden 100-Tage-Durchschnitt \u00fcberschritten und ein aufsteigendes Channel-Muster gebildet hatte. Unterst\u00fctzung und Widerstand wurden bei 3.980,00 bzw. 4.168,50 Punkten erreicht.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nach einer Ablehnung des Widerstandsniveaus k\u00f6nnten b\u00e4rische Trader auf eine Abw\u00e4rtsbewegung setzen, wenn sie sich bei hohen Volumina engagieren. Das n\u00e4chste wahrscheinliche Niveau von Interesse ist entweder die Unterst\u00fctzung des aufsteigenden Kanalmusters oder die Unterst\u00fctzung, die sich bei dem letzten Tiefstand von 3.980,00 gebildet hat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Alternativ k\u00f6nnte ein R\u00fcckgang des Abw\u00e4rtsvolumens auf ein nachlassendes b\u00e4risches Momentum und die M\u00f6glichkeit hinweisen, dass zinsbullische Trader die B\u00e4ren \u00fcbertrumpfen. In diesem Fall k\u00f6nnte sich der Kurs auf den Widerstand bei 4.168,50 zubewegen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"838\" height=\"415\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/060423_SP.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2428\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/060423_SP.png 838w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/060423_SP-300x149.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/060423_SP-768x380.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/060423_SP-18x9.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 838px) 100vw, 838px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2>Zusammenfassung<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Die Abschw\u00e4chung auf dem Arbeitsmarkt deutet auf eine Abschw\u00e4chung der US-Wirtschaft hin,\nbedeutet jedoch einen weiteren Erfolg f\u00fcr die Federal Reserve, da ihr Ziel, die Wirtschaft abzuk\u00fchlen, in vollem Gange ist. Es ist unwahrscheinlich, dass die Kreditkosten weiter ansteigen, da eine weitere Zinserh\u00f6hung der Fed nun bei 37,5 % liegt, was sie unwahrscheinlich macht. Die Aktienbewertungen werden wahrscheinlich bei 3.980 Unterst\u00fctzung finden, w\u00e4hrend die Marke von 4.168,50 wahrscheinlich ist.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Quellen: Reuters, U.S. Department of Labor, TradingView<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The S&amp;P500 Futures (CME: ES) have reversed from a near two-month high as fears of a slowdown in the U.S. economy prevailed, following weakness in the labour market and manufacturing sectors. The manufacturing PMIs hovered near a three-year low, while the labour market surprised the markets with a significant decline in job openings. Traders will [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[4],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.10 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>S&amp;P500 Futures Traders Undermine Bullish Rally Unconvincingly<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The S&amp;P500 Futures (CME: ES) have reversed from a near two-month high as fears of a slowdown in the U.S. economy prevailed, following weakness in the labour market and manufacturing sectors.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/de\/handel\/uneinigkeit-in-der-sp500-aufwartsrallye\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"de_DE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" 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