{"id":2309,"date":"2023-03-29T15:13:10","date_gmt":"2023-03-29T15:13:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/?p=2309"},"modified":"2023-03-29T15:13:11","modified_gmt":"2023-03-29T15:13:11","slug":"when-the-chips-are-down-micron-looks-to-the-future-for-hope","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/de\/investition\/dustere-quartalszahlen-aber-hoffnungsvoller-ausblick-fur-micron\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u00fcstere Quartalszahlen, aber hoffnungsvoller Ausblick f\u00fcr Micron"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Obwohl die Ergebnisse des zweiten Quartals des Chipherstellers Micron Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: MU) im Gro\u00dfen und Ganzen den Erwartungen entsprachen, waren sie mit einem Minus von 186,26 % geradezu d\u00fcster. Wie erwartet fiel der Aktienkurs um 2,82 %, bevor er von bullischen Anlegern unterst\u00fctzt wurde, die auf die positiven Aussichten, insbesondere auf die vielversprechende Zukunft der k\u00fcnstlichen Intelligenz (KI), setzten.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Technische Analyse<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Im Tageschart beendete der Aktienkurs von Micron seinen sechsw\u00f6chigen Abw\u00e4rtstrend, nachdem er den Widerstand des abw\u00e4rts tendierenden Kanalmusters durchbrochen hatte. Der Aktienkurs stieg an, bevor b\u00e4rische Anleger massiv verkauften, was zu einem Kursr\u00fcckgang f\u00fchrte. Der Aktienkurs kehrte den Abw\u00e4rtstrend um, nachdem er am 50 % Fibonacci-Retracement-Level bei 57,39 USD pro Aktie abgeprallt war und einen Pivot-Punkt gebildet hatte. Nach der Ver\u00f6ffentlichung der Ergebnisse bildete sich ein langer Docht auf dem Tageskurs nach unten, ein Zeichen f\u00fcr das mangelnde Interesse der Anleger am Abw\u00e4rtstrend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"484\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/2023.03.29-ND-Micron-Investment-View-1024x484.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2312\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/2023.03.29-ND-Micron-Investment-View-1024x484.png 1024w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/2023.03.29-ND-Micron-Investment-View-300x142.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/2023.03.29-ND-Micron-Investment-View-768x363.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/2023.03.29-ND-Micron-Investment-View-1536x727.png 1536w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/2023.03.29-ND-Micron-Investment-View-18x9.png 18w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/2023.03.29-ND-Micron-Investment-View.png 1814w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Im Tageschart beendete der Aktienkurs von Micron seinen sechsw\u00f6chigen Abw\u00e4rtstrend, nachdem er den Widerstand des abw\u00e4rts tendierenden Kanalmusters durchbrochen hatte. Der Aktienkurs stieg an, bevor b\u00e4rische Anleger massiv verkauften, was zu einem Kursr\u00fcckgang f\u00fchrte. Der Aktienkurs kehrte den Abw\u00e4rtstrend um, nachdem er am 50 % Fibonacci-Retracement-Level bei 57,39 USD pro Aktie abgeprallt war und einen Pivot-Punkt gebildet hatte. Nach der Ver\u00f6ffentlichung der Ergebnisse bildete sich ein langer Docht auf dem Tageskurs nach unten, ein Zeichen f\u00fcr das mangelnde Interesse der Anleger am Abw\u00e4rtstrend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"484\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/2023.03.29-ND-Micron-Investment-View-1-1024x484.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2313\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/2023.03.29-ND-Micron-Investment-View-1-1024x484.png 1024w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/2023.03.29-ND-Micron-Investment-View-1-300x142.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/2023.03.29-ND-Micron-Investment-View-1-768x363.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/2023.03.29-ND-Micron-Investment-View-1-1536x727.png 1536w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/2023.03.29-ND-Micron-Investment-View-1-18x9.png 18w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/2023.03.29-ND-Micron-Investment-View-1.png 1814w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Die bullischen Anleger werden nach der Ablehnung des Niveaus von 57,39 USD pro Aktie wahrscheinlich an der Spitze der Kursentwicklung stehen. Das n\u00e4chste wahrscheinliche Interessenniveau liegt bei 64,02 USD pro Aktie, wenn sich die Bullen nach oben orientieren. Die Unterst\u00fctzung bei 53,00 USD bzw. USD 48,60 pro Aktie wird die Bullen wahrscheinlich dazu veranlassen, in die Aktie einzusteigen, wenn sich der Preis bei abnehmendem Volumen auf eines der beiden Niveaus zubewegt, was darauf hinweist, dass der Abw\u00e4rtsdruck nachl\u00e4sst.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Fundamentalanalyse<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Der Umsatz brach im zweiten Quartal im Jahresvergleich um drastische 53 % auf 3,69 Mrd. USD um. Der starke Umsatzr\u00fcckgang hinterlie\u00df einen bitteren Beigeschmack bei der Bottom-Line-Performance, die mit einem Verlust von 2,3 Mrd. USD um 202 % zur\u00fcckging. Die schwache Nachfrage nach PCs und Smartphones f\u00fchrte zu der negativen Entwicklung in der Gewinn- und Verlustrechnung von Micron, die das Unternehmen weiterhin belastet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Laut Gartner war der R\u00fcckgang der PC-Lieferungen mit 28,5 % der gr\u00f6\u00dfte seit Beginn der Erfassung des PC-Marktes in den 1990er Jahren. Micron rechnet f\u00fcr das n\u00e4chste Quartal mit einem Umsatzr\u00fcckgang von 60 % im Vergleich zum Vorjahr und setzt damit den Abw\u00e4rtstrend bei der Top-Line-Performance fort. Und das ist noch nicht alles. Micron rechnet f\u00fcr das Gesamtjahr mit einem Umsatzr\u00fcckgang, der noch deutlicher ausfallen wird als der tiefste Einbruch im Jahr 2001.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Um die negativen Auswirkungen des Umsatzr\u00fcckgangs auf das Ergebnis abzufedern, plant Micron im Rahmen seines Kostensenkungsprogramms einen Personalabbau von 15 %.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Doch trotz der d\u00fcsteren Gegenwart und nahen Vergangenheit von Micron bleiben die langfristigen Aussichten positiv und geben den Anlegern Hoffnung. Die F\u00fchrungskr\u00e4fte des Unternehmens rechnen mit rosigen Aussichten f\u00fcr 2025, wobei der Umsatz durch die wachsende Nachfrage nach k\u00fcnstlicher Intelligenz angekurbelt wird.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nach Abzug der Cashflows ergibt sich ein fairer Wert von $83,28. Dies l\u00e4sst Raum f\u00fcr einen Kursanstieg von 37%, wenn das Unternehmen seine Prognosen erf\u00fcllt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"529\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/2023.03.29-ND-Micron-vs-FAANG-1024x529.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2311\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/2023.03.29-ND-Micron-vs-FAANG-1024x529.png 1024w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/2023.03.29-ND-Micron-vs-FAANG-300x155.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/2023.03.29-ND-Micron-vs-FAANG-768x397.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/2023.03.29-ND-Micron-vs-FAANG-1536x794.png 1536w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/2023.03.29-ND-Micron-vs-FAANG-2048x1058.png 2048w, https:\/\/blog.trive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/2023.03.29-ND-Micron-vs-FAANG-18x9.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Die obige Grafik zeigt den F\u00fcnf-Jahres-Kurs der Micron-Aktie im Vergleich zu Meta, Amazon, Apple, Netflix und Google, die auch als FAANG-Aktien bezeichnet werden. Es gibt eine starke Korrelation in der Kursentwicklung zwischen Micron und FAANG. Insgesamt erlitten Technologieaktien im Jahr 2022 einen R\u00fcckschlag, als die Federal Reserve im Kampf gegen die Inflation die Zinsen anhob. Der Aktienkurs von Micron wird wahrscheinlich ged\u00e4mpft werden, da die Zinsen sehr hoch bleiben und die h\u00f6heren Kreditkosten das Ergebnis belasten.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Zusammenfassung<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Micron ist mit seinen Technologie- und Produktentwicklungspl\u00e4nen gut positioniert, um von den wachsenden M\u00f6glichkeiten zu profitieren, da k\u00fcnstliche Intelligenz reift und zu einem hei\u00dfen Thema wird. Wenn Micron die Kosten senkt und sich in der KI-Branche etabliert, wird der Aktienkurs wahrscheinlich einen leichten Aufw\u00e4rtstrend erfahren, so dass das Niveau von 83,28 USD wahrscheinlich ist.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Quellen: Micron Technology Inc, CNBC, Reuters, Gartner, TradingView, Koyfin<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Despite the top line being somewhat in line with expectations, the chipmaker Micron Technology Inc\u2019s (NASDAQ: MU) second-quarter earnings were downright gloomy, missing the mark by 186.26%. As expected, the share price shed 2.82% before finding the support of the bullish investors who rode on the back of a positive outlook, primarily with the promising [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[46,45],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.10 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>When the Chips are Down, Micron Looks to the Future For Hope<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Despite the top line being somewhat in line with expectations, the chipmaker Micron Technology Inc\u2019s (NASDAQ: MU) second-quarter earnings were downright gloomy, missing the mark by 186.26%. 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